Will Derby County achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?

1. 1

   Down 45pp over 24h

   Now 4¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 703h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 5.4¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League (EPL) for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the English Premier League (EPL) for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the EFL Championship, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the EFL Championship and the English Premier League (EPL). If the 2025-26 EFL Championship season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the EFL Championship and the English Premier League (EPL). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.