Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Probability
60¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$48.00
Liquidity
$22.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1570h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1570.4h
- 13:36SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1570h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 60¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 60¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 60¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 2¢-0.6pp
Will Christopher Oldfield be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Politics · Vol $7.69
- 30¢-2.5pp
Will Melat Kiros be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Politics · Vol $65.34
- 0¢-1.1pp
Will Tiffany Rodgers be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate A be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate C be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate E be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate G be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Candidate I be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $3.5M
- 3¢-0.9pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $636.1K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $560.7K
- 5¢+0.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $459.4K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $372.7K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $346.2K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the UAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).