OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Drake be the top Spotify artist for 2026?

Probability

25¢

-0.3pp

24h

+6.6pp

24h Vol

$1.2K

Liquidity

$20.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+15.3pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:22

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors

1
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 25¢; -0.3pp in the last hour.
2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
3
Thin liquidity
Only $20.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 5984.6h
LOW
15:22Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW
15:00Price
Probability up 13.9pp
to 24¢
MEDIUM
13:00Price
Probability up 16.1pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
12:00Price
Probability up 16.2pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
10:00Price
Probability up 15.8pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
09:00Price
Probability up 15.9pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
08:00Price
Probability up 15.8pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
06:00Price
Probability up 15.7pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
05:00Price
Probability up 16.1pp
to 27¢
MEDIUM
03:00Price
Probability up 15.7pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 15.7pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 15.1pp
to 26¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 10.7pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 10.0pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
18:00Price
Probability up 10.4pp
to 21¢
MEDIUM
17:00Price
Probability up 9.9pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
16:00Price
Probability up 9.0pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 9.6pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 4.9pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 5.7pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 5.6pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 6.2pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 8.2pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.6pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.8pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability up 7.2pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 6.9pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 8.9pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability up 3.4pp
to 14¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventTop Spotify Artist 2026

Category · Other

Market Description

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Dec 31, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Not specified in metadata
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket