OtherExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Drake feature Lil Wayne on ICEMAN?

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5980h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5979.7h

    LOW
  • 20:19Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5980h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.

Biggest hourly move: +24.5pp at 1d ago (to 54¢).

Show all 3 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 54¢
  • 1d ago · +24.5pp → 54¢
  • 1d ago · -12.0pp → 39¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Drake's album "ICEMAN". To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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