Measly-Gelatin
0x28ca4e9a04531f2eac0c2770f95db4e1c6a65d19
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$46.3K
Total PnL
$-485.79
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
48%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 TOUR Championship?
3952 shares @ 97.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.7K
$-130.92
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
4625 shares @ 40.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.1K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2356 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$2.0K
$-23.62
- YES
Will Michael Carbonara be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
2595 shares @ 74.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.8K
$-149.64
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
3286 shares @ 72.9¢·now 38.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.2K
$-1.1K
- NO
Will Swim – BTS be the top song for 2026?
1201 shares @ 50.4¢·now 94.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$530.71
- NO
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?
1208 shares @ 81.7¢·now 86.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$58.39
- NO
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
1163 shares @ 84.4¢·now 82.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$959.34
$-22.17
- NO
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
943 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$930.26
$72.22
- NO
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during July Press Conference?
1044 shares @ 85.4¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$903.43
$11.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Windows 11" during earnings call?$7.42Jul 28, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft say "Windows 11" during earnings call?$7.17Jul 28, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland as Spider-Man?$36.44Jul 28, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland as Spider-Man?$10.34Jul 28, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland as Spider-Man?$19.22Jul 28, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?$0.00Jul 28, 10:21 UTC
- MERGETobey Maguire as Spider-Man?$117.13Jul 28, 10:20 UTC
- MERGEJon Favreau as Happy Hogan?$142.10Jul 28, 10:20 UTC
- MERGEHailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop?$187.00Jul 28, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland as Spider-Man?$7.86Jul 28, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Holland as Spider-Man?$10.85Jul 28, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYJon Favreau as Happy Hogan?$18.32Jul 28, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYJon Favreau as Happy Hogan?$20.85Jul 28, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Puka Nacua finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?$25.31Jul 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJon Favreau as Happy Hogan?$10.74Jul 28, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYJon Favreau as Happy Hogan?$15.79Jul 28, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYDon Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?$14.65Jul 28, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYJon Favreau as Happy Hogan?$8.71Jul 28, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Stablecoin" or "Stable Coin" during earnings call?$92.06Jul 28, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta say "Hiring" during earnings call?$16.12Jul 28, 04:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
48% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
44 closed markets, 48% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $30.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 21:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.