Will Ethena reach $0.16 in April?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.7pp
24h
-3.6pp
24h Vol
$761.28
Liquidity
$572.47
Probability (last 7 days)
-15.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 2¢; -0.7pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $572 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 131.8h
- 16:13SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 132h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.1pp
to 3¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 3¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 5¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 7¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 6¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 7¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 7¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ENA/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ENA/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ENA_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ENA/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).