Responsible-Mine
0xa4bdb35fe4888823f01b5833585238250b1c9bdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.3K
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
2083 shares @ 48.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.3K
$302.09
- YES
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
4410 shares @ 22.7¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$859.94
$-140.06
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
4219 shares @ 23.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$400.84
$-599.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
2173 shares @ 46.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$358.54
$-641.46
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
2707 shares @ 36.9¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$338.33
$-661.67
- YES
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?
2369 shares @ 42.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$272.48
$-727.52
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
2475 shares @ 40.4¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$235.09
$-764.91
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
2534 shares @ 39.5¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$228.07
$-771.93
- YES
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81
1627 shares @ 61.5¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$195.24
$-804.76
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
2862 shares @ 34.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$157.42
$-842.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.35Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.35Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.42Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.