Will EUR/USD hit 1.14 (Low) in 2026?
Probability
60¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+2.6pp
24h Vol
$9.87
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 60¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 18.1¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5986.8h
- 13:11SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 60¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 61¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 7¢0.0pp
Will EUR/USD hit 1.40 (High) in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 11¢+1.5pp
Will EUR/USD hit 1.35 (High) in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 17¢+2.0pp
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 37¢0.0pp
Will EUR/USD hit 1.26 (High) in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 43¢0.0pp
Will EUR/USD hit 1.24 (High) in 2026?
Other · Vol $1.69
- 61¢+4.5pp
Will EUR/USD hit 1.22 (High) in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 70¢-5.5pp
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+1.0pp
Will EUR/USD hit 1.16 (Low) in 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-2.3pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $721.0K
- 5¢-34.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $681.6K
- 86¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $559.8K
- 43¢+7.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $496.7K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (18.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).