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OtherExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026?

Probability

17¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$506.10

Probability (last 7 days)

-5.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:34
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 17¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 14.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5986.4h

    LOW
  • 13:34Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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