Will Fermín López lead LaLiga in assists for the 2025-26 season?
Probability
39¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$1.04
Liquidity
$49.47
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 39¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 795h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 69.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 795.2h
- 20:49SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 795h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 39¢.
Biggest hourly move: -7.5pp at 2d ago (to 40¢).
Show top 8 of 41 hourly moves
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 40¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the player with the most assists in the 2025-2026 LaLiga season. Only assists recorded in LaLiga matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., Copa Del Rey, Supercopa de España, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, the market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 LaLiga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other” The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the LaLiga (https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/stats/laliga-easports/assists); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (69.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.