Will Francisco Lindor win the 2026 National League MVP Award?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.4pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$775.72
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4825h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 11.1¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4825.2h
- 22:45SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 4825h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 6¢.
Biggest hourly move: -20.3pp at 1d ago (to 6¢).
Show 5 hourly moves
- 1d ago · -15.2pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -20.3pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · +3.1pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · +3.1pp → 6¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (11.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.