Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?
Probability
74¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-9.0pp
24h Vol
$62.13
Liquidity
$650.78
Probability (last 7 days)
+15.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 9pp over 24h
Now 74¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1859h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 17.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1859.1h
- 12:55SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1859h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 74¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 74¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 74¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 74¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 73¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 73¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 73¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 74¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 74¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 74¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 75¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 75¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 83¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 82¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 31.5pp
to 82¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 79¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The MSI 2026 (Mid-Season Invitational) is scheduled to take place from June 26 to July 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to which teams qualify for MSI 2026. If the listed team officially qualifies as one of the teams invited to MSI 2026, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Ties in standings will be broken according to the official LoL Esports rules. If MSI 2026 is canceled, postponed indefinitely, or if the official list of MSI 2026 participants is not published before August 1, 2026, ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 12, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (17.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).