Intrepid-Microphone
0x8a69235d6b05f551b5d9961752d7c9a7214147d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
70
Open notional
$16.08
Total PnL
$-38.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.30
$3.02
- YES
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.80
$1.68
- YES
Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
2 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.29
$1.37
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.29
$1.74
- NO
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
1 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$1.18
$0.52
- NO
Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
1 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.17
$0.60
- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.34
$-0.78
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 23.5¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.31
$-0.23
- YES
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 5.2¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.24
$-0.90
- YES
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
1 shares @ 27.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.13
$-0.18
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$1.01Jun 19, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$1.59Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?$0.23Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?$0.58Jun 9, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?$0.60Jun 7, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in June?$1.11Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBoston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees$1.69Jun 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$0.26Jun 5, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees$1.10Jun 4, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.07Jun 4, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?$0.11Jun 4, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?$1.12Jun 4, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?$1.13Jun 3, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.12Jun 2, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.87Jun 2, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.13Jun 2, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.87Jun 2, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.13Jun 2, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$1.42Jun 2, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$1.42Jun 2, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 10:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.