Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$15.02
Liquidity
$378.83
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- PrimaryPyth futures price feedLinkTypeCommodity price feed / futures dataConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (98.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+39.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.
- 02Spread cost
Wide spread — 98.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- PrimaryPyth futures price feedLinkTypeCommodity price feed / futures dataConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (98.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 03:59ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 6.0h
- 21:59SignalHIGH
Resolution risk
Expires in 6h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: +47.2pp at 03:00 (to 50¢).
Show top 8 of 56 hourly moves
- 21:59 · +42.6pp → 50¢
- 19:00 · +42.4pp → 50¢
- 11:00 · +42.0pp → 50¢
- 09:00 · +42.3pp → 50¢
- 07:00 · +47.2pp → 50¢
- 06:00 · +47.2pp → 50¢
- 05:00 · +47.2pp → 50¢
- 03:00 · +47.2pp → 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 100¢+60.5
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?
Other · Vol $1.5M
- 22¢-9.0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $1.5M
- 98¢+8.8
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 0¢-30.4
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 2¢-96.7
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?
Other · Vol $1.2M
- 64¢+5.5
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.