UnclassifiedExpires May 1, 2026
Creator

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 in April?

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$15.02

Liquidity

$378.83

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
Pyth futures price feed
Type
Commodity price feed / futures data
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (98.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+39.4pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 22:00Apr 30, 2026, 21:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 98.8¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 03:59Resolve

    Market resolves in 6.0h

    HIGH
  • 21:59Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 6h. UMA disputed and spread is extremely wide.

    HIGH

Price movement

-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.

Biggest hourly move: +47.2pp at 03:00 (to 50¢).

Show top 8 of 56 hourly moves
  • 21:59 · +42.6pp → 50¢
  • 19:00 · +42.4pp → 50¢
  • 11:00 · +42.0pp → 50¢
  • 09:00 · +42.3pp → 50¢
  • 07:00 · +47.2pp → 50¢
  • 06:00 · +47.2pp → 50¢
  • 05:00 · +47.2pp → 50¢
  • 03:00 · +47.2pp → 50¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.HOOD%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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