Will Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by June 30?
Probability
99¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+10.6pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5864.5h
Price movement
+0.1pp over the last 24h, now 99¢.
Biggest hourly move: +38.8pp at 01:00 (to 99¢).
Show top 8 of 42 hourly moves
- 01:00 · +38.8pp → 99¢
- 2d ago · +14.4pp → 99¢
- 2d ago · +14.4pp → 99¢
- 2d ago · +14.5pp → 99¢
- 2d ago · +14.5pp → 99¢
- 2d ago · +15.2pp → 99¢
- 2d ago · +14.9pp → 99¢
- 3d ago · -24.2pp → 60¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hyperliquid’s HIP-4 upgrade goes live on mainnet by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be Hyperliquid, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.