Will Jack Della Maddalena be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?
Probability
30¢
1h
-3.5pp
24h
-1.9pp
24h Vol
$3.14
Liquidity
$1.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+9.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 30¢; -3.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 59.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5983.9h
- 16:05SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:04PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.6pp
to 29¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.9pp
to 33¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.2pp
to 34¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.8pp
to 33¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.1pp
to 33¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 34¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.8pp
to 30¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 30¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.9pp
to 33¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.7pp
to 26¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 28¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.6pp
to 34¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.7pp
to 30¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.4pp
to 29¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.7pp
to 32¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.8pp
to 32¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.8pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.3pp
to 33¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.4pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.6pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.1pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.7pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.6pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.6pp
to 31¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ETAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (59.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).