Will Jasmeet Bains advance from the CA-22 Primary?
Probability
40¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$798.95
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 900.3h
- 11:44SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 900h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:44PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 40¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 40¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 42¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 46¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 43¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 46¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 48¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 42¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 31¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 39¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 39¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 39¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 39¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 39¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 39¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 34¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 61¢0.0pp
Will Randy Villegas advance from the CA-22 Primary?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 93¢-1.3pp
Will David Valadao advance from the CA-22 Primary?
Other · Vol $36.00
- 3¢+0.1pp
Will Rudy Salas advance from the CA-22 Primary?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 21¢+13.9pp
Will Chris Mathys advance from the CA-22 Primary?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.5pp
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Politics · Vol $4.3M
- 3¢-0.4pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $615.1K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $494.3K
- 5¢-0.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $439.4K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $379.6K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $374.4K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).