Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?
Probability
15¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-11.5pp
24h Vol
$7.1K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 205.5h
- 10:28SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 206h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:28PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.5pp
to 15¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.0pp
to 17¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.0pp
to 17¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.5pp
to 14¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
11- 0¢-1.9pp
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 22?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.7pp
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 23?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-1.1pp
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 24?
Other · Vol $3.9K
- 4¢-0.9pp
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 27?
Other · Vol $7.8K
- 10¢-2.0pp
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by April 30?
Other · Vol $7.9K
- 2¢-1.3pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 100¢+38.0pp
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $886.0K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $720.0K
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $699.9K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $519.0K
- 88¢+3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $455.8K
Market Description
If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).