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OtherExpires May 4, 2026

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?

Probability

15¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-11.5pp

24h Vol

$7.1K

Liquidity

$15.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 10:28
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 205.5h

    LOW
  • 10:28Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 206h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 10:28Price

    Probability down -46.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -43.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -41.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -44.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -37.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

If JD Vance visits Pakistan by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Vance physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Pakistan. Whether or not Vance enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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