Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Probability
7¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$13.10
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 7¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 7089h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 7089.4h
- 14:34SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 7089h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 5¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -23.0pp
to 5¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 4¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 5¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 6¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.0pp
to 7¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 26¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.0pp
to 43¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 28¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 24¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 6¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 21¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 30.5pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 9¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 23¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 19¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 28¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 9¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Feb 15, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).