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SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Feb 15, 2027

Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Probability

1h

+1.5pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$13.10

Liquidity

$1.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

-2.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:34
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 7¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 7089h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 7089.4h

    LOW
  • 14:34Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 7089h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -14.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -23.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -20.0pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 34.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 20.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 30.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Feb 15, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).