SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Feb 15, 2027

Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?

Probability

48¢

+0.0pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$3.37

Probability (last 7 days)

+5.5pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:00

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors

1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 48¢; flat in the last hour.
2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 7086h with open resolution ambiguity.
3
Wide spread — 95.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 7086.0h
LOW
18:00Signal
Resolution risk
Expires in 7086h with open resolution ambiguity.
LOW

Price movement

+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.

Biggest hourly move: +40.0pp at 1d ago (to 48¢).

Show all 44 hour-by-hour ticks

17:00 · +6.5pp → 48¢
16:00 · +6.5pp → 48¢
15:00 · +6.0pp → 48¢
13:00 · +4.5pp → 48¢
10:00 · +6.0pp → 47¢
09:00 · +6.0pp → 47¢
08:00 · +5.5pp → 47¢
06:00 · +5.0pp → 47¢
03:00 · +4.0pp → 47¢
02:00 · +4.0pp → 47¢
00:00 · +10.5pp → 46¢
22:00 · +11.5pp → 47¢
20:00 · +4.0pp → 47¢
1d ago · +4.0pp → 47¢
1d ago · +40.0pp → 48¢
1d ago · +33.0pp → 41¢
1d ago · +10.0pp → 44¢
1d ago · +12.0pp → 47¢
1d ago · +13.0pp → 47¢
1d ago · +25.0pp → 47¢
1d ago · +30.5pp → 47¢
1d ago · +12.0pp → 47¢
1d ago · +26.0pp → 47¢
2d ago · +34.5pp → 47¢
2d ago · +27.5pp → 48¢
2d ago · +30.0pp → 47¢
2d ago · +16.5pp → 47¢
2d ago · +4.5pp → 47¢
2d ago · +12.0pp → 47¢
2d ago · +22.5pp → 48¢
2d ago · +22.0pp → 48¢
2d ago · +24.0pp → 44¢
2d ago · +16.5pp → 41¢
2d ago · +28.5pp → 41¢
2d ago · +24.0pp → 41¢
2d ago · -3.0pp → 41¢
2d ago · +18.5pp → 42¢
2d ago · +15.5pp → 42¢
3d ago · -6.0pp → 41¢
3d ago · +3.5pp → 41¢
3d ago · +4.0pp → 47¢
3d ago · -6.5pp → 36¢
3d ago · -6.5pp → 36¢
3d ago · -6.5pp → 36¢

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventPro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Feb 15, 2027
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Wide spread (95.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

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