Will Julian Álvarez have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?
Probability
38¢
1h
+1.8pp
24h
+0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$104.15
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 65.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 850.2h
- 13:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 850h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 36¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.4pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.4pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 38¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.4pp
to 36¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 37¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 37¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.3pp
to 38¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.4pp
to 38¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 37¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.6pp
to 38¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.6pp
to 37¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 37¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 38¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.2pp
to 37¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 37¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the player who records the most goal contributions combined through all main tournament rounds of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League competition. For the purpose of this market, a goal contribution is defined exclusively as the number of combined goals and assists a player has recorded. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA Champions League rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (65.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).