SportsExpires Jun 30, 2026
Creator

Will Kon Knueppel be named to the 2026 All-NBA Second Team?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-48.9pp

24h Vol

$84.79

Liquidity

$441.06

Research loop

Inspect the market

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

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Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active

Derived status (Orrery)

PINNED NO

Reason

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Treat as effectively priced-out, not settled. The market is still live until expiry.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Official NBA data
Type
Official sports result
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
1007550250
1¢
May 13, 2026, 21:00 UTCMay 18, 2026, 12:37 UTC
updated 12:37:58 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-18T12-37Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 49pp over 24h

    Now 1¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $441 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 6¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • Jun 30, 00:00 UTCScheduled resolution

    Market resolves in 1019.4h

    LOW

Price movement

-48.9pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

Biggest hourly move: -49.4pp at 12:00 (to 1¢).

Show 8 hourly moves
  • 12:00 · -49.4pp → 1¢
  • 10:00 · -48.9pp → 1¢
  • 09:00 · -48.9pp → 1¢
  • 08:00 · -48.9pp → 1¢
  • 06:00 · -3.0pp → 46¢
  • 04:00 · -5.2pp → 44¢
  • 00:00 · -5.4pp → 45¢
  • 21:00 · -48.9pp → 1¢
updated 12:37:58 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 12:37:58 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventNBA: 2025-26 All-NBA Second Team
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is named to the 2025-26 All-NBA Second Team. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If no official All-NBA Second Team is announced by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Why this category?

confidence: high

Category

Sports

Source

Manual override (pattern match)

Matched term

nba

Reason

NBA — Sports.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Kon Knueppel be named to the 2026 All-NBA Second Team?"?

As of Mon, 18 May 2026 12:37:58 GMT, YES is priced at 1% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -48.9pp in the last 24 hours, +0.0pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by Jun 30, 2026 (2026-06-30T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$84.79 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $104.99. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $441.06. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.7¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

5 wallets
Open on Polymarket