Will Kristalina Georgieva be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+0.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Wide spread — 7.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 19:32SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
Price movement
+0.1pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: +6.3pp at 2d ago (to 8¢).
Show all 15 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · +4.3pp → 5¢
- 2d ago · +4.5pp → 5¢
- 2d ago · +3.3pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · +3.7pp → 4¢
- 2d ago · +5.4pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · +5.7pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · +5.4pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · +5.3pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · +6.1pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · +5.8pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · +6.3pp → 8¢
- 3d ago · +3.6pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · +3.8pp → 5¢
- 3d ago · +3.8pp → 5¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Feb 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- United NationsOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (7.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.