Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?
Probability
19¢
1h
-0.9pp
24h
+0.7pp
24h Vol
$13.76
Liquidity
$11.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 09:14SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.4pp
to 20¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.7pp
to 19¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 20¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.4pp
to 20¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 22¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.3pp
to 22¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 21¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 22¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.6pp
to 19¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.2pp
to 19¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.1pp
to 20¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.3pp
to 19¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.7pp
to 19¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 21¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 19¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.1pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.3pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.8pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.8pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.1pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.7pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.9pp
to 20¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.4pp
to 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
A United Nations Secretary-General selection is expected to be held in 2026 to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations. This market will resolve according to the listed person who is officially chosen to be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations in this selection process. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Secretary-Generals appointed before the next Secretary-General selection will not count. If no United Nations Secretary-General selection takes place or the results of this selection are not known by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Feb 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (8.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).