Wicked-Tophat
0x3f58cdba2c784a5f43603bf6f4f072bcb51ee29a
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$53.92
Total PnL
$-776.04
Realised
$-93.79
Win rate
29%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
101 shares @ 58.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$14.64
$-43.94
- NO
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
22 shares @ 88.8¢·now 58.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$12.89
$-6.64
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
14 shares @ 91.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$11.83
$-0.91
- NO
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
10 shares @ 45.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$9.88
$5.38
- NO
Will Anne Parelkar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$2.99
$0.32
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
1 shares @ 62.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.38
- YES
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
57 shares @ 33.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.57
$-18.24
- YES
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
1 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.06
$-0.15
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 2.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.04
$-0.98
- NO
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
786 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-144.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMGPT ads by March 31?$4.00May 22, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yorgos Lanthimos be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.00May 22, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$12.00May 22, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?$66.00May 22, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$89.00May 22, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?$221.00May 22, 10:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apocalypse in the Tropics be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?$249.33May 22, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$118.40Feb 9, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$140.80Feb 9, 02:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$172.16Feb 8, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?$203.15Feb 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$41.60Feb 8, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$83.65Jan 10, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?$6.45Jan 10, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$144.62Jan 10, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$31.50Jan 10, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicholas Finan advance from the CA-17 primary?$195.98Jan 10, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$18.81Jan 10, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$241.78Jan 10, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?$13.92Jan 10, 16:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $82.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 10:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.