Ideal-Score
0xc88694a2c8b0bdf3abc54e6a08a0b78137a9696f
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$251.21
Total PnL
$-59.97
Realised
$24.45
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
197 shares @ 77.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$168.44
$16.75
- NO
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
190 shares @ 9.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$57.95
$40.85
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
109 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.80
$-8.18
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
5 shares @ 41.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.47
$2.42
- NO
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 63.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.62
$1.10
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
1 shares @ 93.2¢·now 92.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.92
$-0.01
- NO
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
537 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-99.34
- NO
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
70 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-35.61
- YES
Google Gemini Parlay
6 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?
3 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 10 be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?$19.00Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?$86.00Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETHGAS launch a token by December 31, 2026?$269.00Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oro launch a token by March 31, 2026?$456.00Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?$640.00Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$0.16Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?$0.76Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLReya FDV above $300M one day after launch?$63.77Apr 21, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLReya FDV above $300M one day after launch?$22.77Apr 21, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$184.08Feb 9, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$73.16Feb 9, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$76.11Feb 9, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'The Life of a Showgirl' be #1 for 8 straight weeks?$26.00Jan 12, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Băluță get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$39.00Jan 12, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of November 24?$121.00Jan 12, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$137.00Jan 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$4.92Jan 11, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$61.20Jan 11, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $112.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 05:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 10:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.