What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Martin Satriano be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?"?

As of Sat, 02 May 2026 23:16:52 GMT, YES is priced at 0% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined from the market description on Polymarket.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from the market description on Polymarket. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate.

How much is being traded on this market?

$0.00 traded in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume: $2.3K. Open liquidity in the orderbook: $838.41.

Where can I see the live data, signals, and whale flow for this market?

Orrery's per-market terminal at https://orrery.me/markets/will-martin-satriano-be-the-top-goal-scorer-in-the-2025-26-ligue-1-season renders a 7-day probability chart, recent trades scoped to this market, top YES/NO holders, all firing signals (momentum / divergence / flow / resolution-risk), and an AI-generated movement explanation. A machine-readable Markdown summary is available at https://orrery.me/markets/will-martin-satriano-be-the-top-goal-scorer-in-the-2025-26-ligue-1-season/markdown.

SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 30, 2026

Creator

Will Martin Satriano be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?

Probability

0¢

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$838.41

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 30, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

Apr 26, 2026, 00:00May 2, 2026, 23:16

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor

01
Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $838 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: May 30, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 648.7h
LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: +49.3pp at 4d ago (to 49¢).

Show 6 hourly moves

2d ago · -31.6pp → 0¢
2d ago · -10.4pp → 0¢
2d ago · -49.3pp → 0¢
4d ago · +10.4pp → 11¢
4d ago · +36.1pp → 36¢
4d ago · +49.3pp → 49¢

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feed Browse related markets Alert me on the next trade

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · Sports

Market Description

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Only goals scored in Ligue 1 matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., Coupe de France, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

14 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket