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OtherExpires Mar 22, 2026

Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Probability

32¢

1h

-0.7pp

24h

-2.9pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$976.81

Probability (last 7 days)

+31.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 09:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 09:20Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -5.6pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -14.6pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -14.6pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 3.8pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -9.2pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -11.7pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -13.4pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.2pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.1pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.9pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 37.7pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 40.3pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 41.6pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 27¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 29.3pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.8pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.3pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.9pp

    to 10¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 43.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 48.1pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 49.1pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 49.1pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 22, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (63.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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