Sore-Elderberry-Epoxy
0x3436d2b80d8648729c173b23f9d4d613b100c291
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$16.55
Total PnL
$-67.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- YES
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.72
$-1.28
- YES
Will the US federal government take a stake in IonQ, Inc.?
13 shares @ 37.5¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.47
$-2.53
- YES
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
143 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.79
$-4.21
- YES
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?
182 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
127 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
70 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
25 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$8.65Jun 30, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$3.65Jun 29, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.28Jun 25, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6.67Jun 20, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?$5.16Jun 19, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$14.01Jun 19, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$10.00Jun 15, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?$5.13Jun 14, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$20.00Jun 14, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$0.03Jun 14, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$0.29Jun 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$0.48Jun 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$1.56Jun 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$2.50Jun 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$5.00Jun 12, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$5.00Jun 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$5.15Jun 11, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$10.24Jun 10, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$7.19Jun 5, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 15?$5.00Jun 2, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $7.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 10:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.