Loading shell…
BusinessMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Probability

1¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$1.6K

Liquidity

$14.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 06:40
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 113.3h

    LOW
  • 06:40Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 113h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

8
Same event3rd largest company end of April?

Market Description

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket