Will Mohamed Salah play in Bundesliga next?
Probability
15¢
1h
+14.7pp
24h
+11.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$310.34
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.7pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 12pp over 24h
Now 15¢; +14.7pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 29.6¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3082.3h
- 13:42SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.9pp
to 24¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.6pp
to 22¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.4pp
to 2¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.2pp
to 12¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.4pp
to 17¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.1pp
to 8¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.6pp
to 21¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.3pp
to 1¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.7pp
to 14¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.2pp
to 2¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.6pp
to 8¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.3pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.8pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.1pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.7pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.7pp
to 1¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.4pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 0¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.7pp
to 18¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the league of next club that Mohamed Salah officially joins by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. If Mohamed Salah does not officially join a new club by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Mohamed Salah signs a contract that includes a delayed transfer or loan-back clause requiring him to remain at Liverpool for a specified period before joining another club, this market will resolve to the club he is officially contracted to join following that period. If Mohamed Salah joins a club in a league that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Mohamed Salah is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional club by August 31, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a club’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market. An official transfer announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Liverpool, Mohamed Salah and/or the acquiring club. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Sep 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (29.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).