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OtherExpires May 30, 2026

Will Monaco finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?

Probability

34¢

1h

+0.3pp

24h

-1.2pp

24h Vol

$15.09

Liquidity

$486.22

Probability (last 7 days)

-16.2pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 34¢; +0.3pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 36.4¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 826.2h

    LOW
  • 13:48Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 826h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.9pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.4pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.9pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.9pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.1pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.8pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.8pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.1pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.7pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.3pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.7pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.7pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This is a polymarket to predict which clubs finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings for the 2025–26 season. If the listed club officially finishes in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 standings at the end of the season, the market will resolve to "Yes." Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If two or more clubs are tied on points for a top 4 position, resolution will follow the official Ligue 1 tiebreaking procedures. If the 2025–26 Ligue 1 season is canceled or not completed before October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (36.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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