Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?
Probability
69¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-6.5pp
24h Vol
$340.99
Liquidity
$452.28
Probability (last 7 days)
+28.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 116.7h
- 03:18SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 117h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 69¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 69¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 56¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 55¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 55¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 56¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 63¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 73¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 71¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 72¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 72¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 72¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 65¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 65¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 75¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 78¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 77¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 80¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 79¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 80¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 80¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) hits the specified number of views by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the MrBeast YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).