Sore-Snow
0x70c68e76817e4bde62b5208a048c8d70282319c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?
136 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 60m?
79 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?
50 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
33 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?
17 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?
14 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?$10.00Apr 28, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 119.5 billion views by April 30?$8.00Apr 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?$0.08Apr 26, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?$0.14Apr 26, 18:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?$7.02Apr 26, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?$1.00Apr 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?$1.00Apr 26, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 20.5m?$5.00Apr 25, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?$1.00Apr 25, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 19m?$1.00Apr 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 17.5m?$1.00Apr 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?$1.00Apr 25, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$140.14Apr 25, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?$1.00Apr 22, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 75m?$1.00Apr 22, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?$1.00Apr 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?$1.00Apr 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 60m?$1.00Apr 22, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?$10.00Apr 21, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.00Apr 17, 09:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $16.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 01:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.