Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Probability
3¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$113.74
Liquidity
$950.17
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Wide spread — 4.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 147.7h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Sports · Vol $303.28
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $50-$60 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Sports · Vol $177.00
- 8¢0.0pp
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $70-$80 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Sports · Vol $5.00
- 30¢0.0pp
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $80-$90 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 62¢0.0pp
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 16¢0.0pp
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 9¢0.0pp
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Sports · Vol $30.00
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $120-$130 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 27 – May 1?
Sports · Vol $116.55
- 0¢-42.4pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $3.2M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.8M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner
Sports · Vol $871.9K
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $841.4K
- 4¢+0.3pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $802.0K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Netflix (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Netflix (NFLX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NFLX/historyAmbiguous wording
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (4.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).