Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Probability
75¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$215.62
Liquidity
$21.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+6.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 445.5h
- 10:29SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 446h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 10:29PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 75¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 75¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 75¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 75¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 75¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 75¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 75¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 14, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).