Will NVIDIA reach $212 in April?
Probability
39¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+12.5pp
24h Vol
$283.22
Liquidity
$202.35
Probability (last 7 days)
+14.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 13pp over 24h
Now 39¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 135h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 56.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 135.2h
- 12:50SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 135h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 53¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 53¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 56¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 56¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 55¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 55¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 56¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 50¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.0pp
to 79¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 70¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.5pp
to 75¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 58¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 62¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 35¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 29¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 53¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (56.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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