Granular-Koala
0xb3c392bf1871edc0a0135d7a329ccea8457c4019
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$13.21
Total PnL
$-5.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- SUNS
Spread: Suns (-8.5)
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$1.92
$0.92
- PISTONS
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.85
$0.85
- YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
- YES
Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Heat: O/U 230.5$1.00Mar 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Pistons (-14.5)$1.00Mar 12, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Suns (-8.5)$1.00Mar 12, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$1.67Mar 12, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$1.00Jan 6, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYGensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 6, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Jan 6, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 6, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 6, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Jan 6, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?$1.00Jan 6, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$1.00Jan 6, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Nov 14, 12:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?$1.79Nov 14, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.89Nov 14, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$1.00Oct 28, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$1.00Oct 8, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oviedo be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?$1.00Sep 2, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?$1.00Aug 19, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 06:04 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 07:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.