Will Petr Yan fight Sean O’Malley next?
Probability
15¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.3pp
24h Vol
$39.67
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 15¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5986.4h
- 13:33SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5986h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:33PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 15¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 15¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 15¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.2pp
to 15¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 16¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 17¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.9pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.2pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.8pp
to 24¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC boutAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).