Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?
Probability
92¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.9pp
24h Vol
$18.06
Liquidity
$2.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14786.2h
- 02:45SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 14786h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 92¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 95¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 92¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 92¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 93¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 94¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.7pp
to 93¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 91¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 91¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if predict.fun officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from predict.fun (https://predict.fun/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).