Will President Trump sign 5 pieces of legislation into law in April?
Probability
46¢
1h
+10.5pp
24h
+3.0pp
24h Vol
$43.54
Liquidity
$7.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+28.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 107.7h
- 12:17SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 108h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 40¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 41¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 37¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 33¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 37¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 38¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 40¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 43¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 41¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 38¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 36¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 38¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 33¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 32¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 39¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.0pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 20¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of pieces of legislation that are signed into law between April 1, 2026, 12:00 AM and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President. Legislation that becomes law without a signature while Congress remains in session, or becomes law through veto override, as well as Presidential pocket vetoes that expire, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House (https://www.whitehouse.gov/), Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- White HouseOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (23.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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