Will Richard Howard win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

1. 1

   Down 2pp over 24h

   Now 2¢; -0.2pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 280h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $6.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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The 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Croydon as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the London Borough of Croydon Council.