Angry-Deficit
0xa056b167dc5cd36864995676fa43463770b00f70
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$0.39
Total PnL
$43.52
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
67%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
521 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.26
$-0.78
- YES
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
154 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.08
$-1.77
- YES
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.06
$-14.94
- YES
Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2216 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-77.13
- YES
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
2203 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-62.81
- YES
Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
2035 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- YES
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
1378 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-159.79
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
1053 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
1022 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.53
- YES
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
898 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-297.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$34.49Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Edmonds be the Republican nominee for LA-05?$0.82Jul 4, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$0.77Jun 29, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$11.62Jun 29, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.61Jun 28, 23:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?$1.92Jun 28, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$6.55Jun 27, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.27Jun 27, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$8.32Jun 27, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$88.77Jun 26, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$43.08Jun 26, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.08Jun 10, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.33Jun 10, 05:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$32.76Jun 10, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$22.49Jun 8, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?$18.40Jun 8, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?$22.16Jun 8, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$57.75Jun 4, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$47.19Jun 3, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?$5.07Jun 3, 11:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $16.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.