Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 491.8h
- 12:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 492h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 17¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 9¢0.0pp
Will Czechia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $9.32
- 42¢-1.0pp
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $8.07
- 5¢0.0pp
Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 3¢-1.1pp
Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 3¢-0.1pp
Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 19¢+1.5pp
Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Geopolitics · Vol $0.00
- 5¢-0.3pp
Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 69¢-2.0pp
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $1.7K
- 2¢-3.0pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $708.1K
- 33¢-7.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $594.6K
- 87¢+2.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $559.4K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $540.5K
- 79¢0.0pp
Thunder vs. Suns
Other · Vol $415.8K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 16, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).