Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

1. 1

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5987h with open resolution ambiguity.

2. 2

   Thin liquidity

   Only $20.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7. A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.