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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?

Probability

15¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$333.00

Liquidity

$2.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

-11.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:45
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 111.2h

    LOW
  • 08:45Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 111h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 13¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.0pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.5pp

    to 8¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.0pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National OcAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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