Will Seattle have between 4 and 4.5 inches of precipitation in April?

1. 1

   Down 1pp over 24h

   Now 0¢; -1.4pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 106h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $1.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.