Will Southampton qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League?
Probability
24¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
-25.5pp
24h Vol
$167.02
Liquidity
$36.60
Probability (last 7 days)
-24.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 26pp over 24h
Now 24¢; -0.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 46.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 29¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:05PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.5pp
to 24¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.1pp
to 24¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -41.8pp
to 7¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.8pp
to 5¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.0pp
to 6¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -45.1pp
to 3¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.3pp
to 4¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.5pp
to 9¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -31.5pp
to 17¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 44¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Conference League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Conference League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 English Premier League season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Conference League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the EPL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (46.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).