Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?
Probability
33¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$45.50
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
-2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 782.6h
- 09:21SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 783h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 65¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 65¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 66¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 65¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 65¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 66¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 65¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 66¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 64¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 65¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 59¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 56¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 57¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 59¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 56¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 53¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This is a polymarket to predict which clubs are relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season. If the listed club is officially relegated by the Bundesliga following the 2025–26 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 Bundesliga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).