Will Stripe’s market cap be between $120B and $140B at market close on IPO day?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$6.03
Liquidity
$5.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1573.4h
- 10:38SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1573h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 0¢0.0pp
Will Stripe’s market cap be less than $80B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $6.03
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Stripe’s market cap be between $100B and $120B at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Stripe’s market cap be $140B or greater at market close on IPO day?
Business · Vol $0.00
- 98¢-0.1pp
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Business · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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